Snow Potential Tonight

As the last borderline snow storm was unsuccessful here, we have another shot at potentially heavy accumulations of snow tonight for parts of NWOH and SEMI. Snow has already changed over from rain in most of lower Michigan, as colder temperatures work their way into the storm. Although the RUC/Rapid Refresh are not nearly as supportive, the HRRR shows the potential for a few inches of accumulation-potentially even more than that as snow changes over from rain late this evening.


Copious amounts of moisture are streaming in from the southern Ohio Valley, and precipitation is expected to stay in the area through the overnight hours. This rain will potentially turn to snow in Northwest Ohio this afternoon, even as early as 4:30-5:30 PM. This leaves heavy precipitation, likely some of it snow- in the area for several hours, leading to potential accumulations.


Again, this is another tough situation to forecast, as even during the storm, models have no handle on what's really going on. Due to the HRRR's continued consistency for this event, I will side for this for now. I currently expect a general 2-4" for most of NWOH and SEMI, although I could see those amounts completely busting. However, I think it is possible that someone receives over 5" in a localized area, but I don't expect that to be common.


Whatever happens, stay cautious on roadways this evening and be prepared for sudden changes in the weather. This is a very weird storm that could go either way. If we get snow, enjoy it. If not, don't be upset that we didn't. Until early this afternoon, nothing suggested a potential for any snow around here, and to see such a dramatic change is extremlely cool to see. Anyways, as Joe Bastardi says, "Enjoy the weather, because it's the only weather you got"