Excessive Heat Likely Next Week

Although it has been almost a month since my last post, I've still been following the weather closely. I did not post about the moderate risk day in Ohio, mainly due to the fact that I had no access to a computer during that stretch. Although I've been slowly working on my Fall/Winter outlooks, I felt that this upcoming situation is going to be more important. We are looking at a stretch of of widespread 90-100*F days, lasting until near the end of the month.  This is largely due to this:

This 594dm ridge over the central U.S. will pump in very hot, moist air, with dew points reaching the low to mid 70s. This combination of heat and humidity will cause heat indices of 105 and greater for several days. There will also be strong instability in place, which could create slow moving thunderstorms, which could be severe. The SPC has already placed Ohio in a slight risk of severe storms for Monday. The main threats would be large hail and damaging winds, with a very low tornado risk. 

This heat won't just be short lived. The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) has a 80% chance or greater of above average temperatures, for both the 6-10 Day, and 8-14 day outlooks:

There does not appear to be any relief from the heat in the next 2-3 weeks, and July will likely be one of the warmest on records for Toledo, Columbus, and Cleveland.

Stay tuned for any updates regarding this and any other significant weather.