Severe Storms Today

The Storm Prediction Center in Norman, OK has placed western and central Ohio into a Slight risk of severe storms today. Although the tornado threat will be limited, large hail and damaging winds will still be possible in these areas. NWOH has the best chance for damaging winds, with a 30% risk extending just east of I-75. Storms should attempt to develop later this afternoon and head slowly northeast.

The atmosphere should continue to destabilize through the early afternoon as little to no cloud debris exists. Showers over northern IN have collapsed, leaving the potential for storms to develop over their old Outflow Boundries. With little to no CAP in place (700mb Temperatures below 6C), and small trigger would be able to initiate some strong storms.

CAPE is in excess of 2000 J/kg in some areas at the 14z Mesoanalysis readings, with bulk shear in excess of 30kts. This should support at least some storm organization, which we lacked with previous events the last couple weeks. The amount of clearing shown on visible satellite is very impressive, and is something I don't see all that often here in Ohio.

Pay close attention to the SPC site ( http://www.spc.noaa.gov ), and your local NWS office for watches and warnings.